For a depressing treatise on how to lose a general election with a 48-state strategy designed by the opposing party, go read Wayne Barrett.
The following are key paragraphs in Barrett's well written post:
In all the buzz about the media's pro-Obama tilt, its indifference to his resistance to including these states in the "actual" nominating process is its most disturbing favor, especially since this brand of "conventional politics," as Obama would put it, flies in the face of his contention that "the people" should pick the nominee. Obama's only proposal so far has been to split the delegates evenly, just like he and Michelle parcel out Christmas presents to their two daughters. [...]It appears that "Mr. Uniter" supporters were key players in early decisions to move up the Michigan and Florida primaries. How ironic, that some of these same supporters were key players in blocking revoting in these two key states.
The rules also demand that the DNC's 30-member Rules and Bylaws Committee conduct "an investigation, including hearings if necessary" into these matters. The purpose of such a probe is to figure out if Democratic leaders in a state that did move up "took all provable, positive steps and acted in good faith" to either "achieve legislative changes" to bring a state into compliance or to "prevent legislative changes" that took a state out of compliance. A DNC spokesman could not point to any real "investigation" the party conducted of the actions of "relevant Democratic party leaders or elected officials," as the rules put it. All that happened with Florida, for example, was that two representatives of the state party made a pitch for leniency immediately before the Rules Committee voted for sanctions. [...]
Had not the state's highest court overturned the earlier decisions by a 4-to-3 vote just days before absentee ballots had to be mailed out, the early primary would not have been held. Significantly, all four of the judges who voted to allow the election were Republicans, and two of the judges who voted against it were Democrats. [...]
The DNC critique of Florida's noncompliance included a reference to the fact that a Democratic state senator was the initial sponsor of the move-up bill in that house, which was seen as a sign of eagerness on the part of some Democratic leaders to break the rules. That senator was Jeremy Ring, an Obama supporter. Obama even named Ring's 2006 campaign manager to run his statewide Florida effort. Ring was such a champion of the early primary that when Obama, like all the other candidates, supported the sanctions and agreed not to campaign in the state, Ring withdrew his endorsement.
When Governor Crist signed the bill at a ceremony in West Palm Beach, the man at his side was Bob Wexler, the chair of Obama's Florida campaign. Wexler wasn't there because he wanted to defy Howard Dean. He was there for the same reason that almost all the Democrats in the legislature voted for the bill. He is the state's leading foe of paperless voting systems and filed two suits against them. He saw the bill as the governor's fulfillment of a campaign pledge "to make Florida a model state for the nation in terms of our election system."
Similarly, all three of the House Democrats who endorsed Obama -- Coleman Young II, Bert Johnson, and Aldo Vagnozzi -- voted in favor of the bill to push the Michigan date forward. When Obama later took his name off the Michigan ballot, Young and Johnson became sponsors of the bill to cancel the election they had just voted to authorize.
It is understandable that Clinton supports want the Senator to stay in the race. When you include the results from Florida and Michigan Clinton leads Obama in delegates -- and probably in the popular vote as well. There are 10 more contests. Voters in these states deserve the right to cast their vote for the candidate of their choice. Maybe the campaign that thinks otherwise should be the one whose candidate is urged to drop out of the race.
7 comments:
It just gets curiouser and curiouser, doesn't it?
If this isn't some spin, I don't know what is. The Florida legislature voted 118 to 0, with no abstentions, to move the election up. Clinton and Obama supporters voted for it. Every Democratic party leader, including Clinton's supporters, said time and again in interviews "The DNC wouldn't dare take away our delegates." When the DNC did, they were shocked and every legislator that voted or pushed to move up the primaries turned against this, Clinton or Obama supporter.
This is not Obama's fault. This is not Clinton's fault. This isn't even the DNC's fault. This is the fault of Democratic and Republican legislators in these two states. They chose to play chicken with their delegates and have lost. Maybe the people in these states need to replace these legislators with ones that will let their voices be properly heard and not play politics with them.
If these states were let in with no consequences, that would be a slap in the face to all the states that held back and followed the rules. What will stop one of these states from trying to hold primaries in 2010 next time if the DNC and RNC aren't able to exert some control over the process?
SueJ - so true.
John - did you even READ the post that Barrett wrote? I think not, or else you wouldn't continue to make the same false comments.
Face facts John, the only person standing in the way of a fair process for both Michigan and Florida is Obama. "Mr. Uniter" simply isn't!!
What's he afraid of? The reality that he's lost every large state except his own?? Why won't Obama let the PEOPLE decide who our nominee will be?
BAC
What facts do I have wrong?
118 to 0 vote - http://www.myfloridahouse.com/Sections/Bills/billsdetail.aspx?BillId=35049&SessionId=54&SessionIndex=-1&BillText=&BillNumber=537&BillSponsorIndex=0&BillListIndex=0&BillTypeIndex=0&BillReferredIndex=0&HouseChamber=H&BillSearchIndex=0
Florida Democratic leaders playing chicken with their constituent's votes? http://www.fladems.com/content/w/florida_democrats_to_defy_party_on_primary "Florida Democratic leaders today will throw down the gauntlet to the Democratic National Committee, pledging to move ahead with the state's Jan. 29 presidential primary even if it means losing all delegates to the nominating convention."
I did not read the full post you linked because after the first paragraph it was clearly filled with extremely biased spin. Instead I quoted facts from the time this whole issue started.
What fair process in Michigan? You mean the one Clinton proposed that would prevent half the state from voting in the re-vote? You call that fair?
Also, back in February (when it would have been reasonable to start planning and scheduling a re-vote) CLINTON WAS ADAMANTLY OPPOSED.
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5g6NNDpFY0v3ilb-uAlcU29tDh6DQ
In fact, Obama was the one proposing a re-vote plan.
You yourself argued against a re-vote on this very blog - http://yikes101.blogspot.com/2008/02/deciding-dilemma-of-riches.html
John J. - That link doesn't say what you claim it says, she argues against replacing a primary vote with a caucus.
A very different point altogether.
And BAC, excellent post again.
Yes, my Google-fu is weak. Most articles about this from back in February has been buried in all the articles recently. This was just the best example I could find.
John - I would not advocate for a caucus, as I do not think they are a fair process because they leave people out. A revote gives people a much better opportunity to participate.
And you know I am biased in this for Clinton, which is why I encouraged you to read the entire post. The arguments are compelling.
The two points I wanted to make in posting this is that 1) it's too soon to be telling Sen. Clinton to drop out, not all the "people" have spoken, and 2) IF we count Michigan and Florida we have an entirely different looking contest. I think that matters!
MWB - Thanks!
BAC
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